2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Leesville Road Middle

Summary Growth Profile ITRE Profile


Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

All maps are in Acrobat format and require the free Acrobat Software to view.

471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE
Capacity - Approved 1205
Projected 1491
20th Day 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 402 415 353 1170 24.4 2.3 13.9
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 391 442 440 1273 25.7 1.0 12.5
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 386 428 454 1268 25.0 2.1 12.3
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 438 442 457 1337 25.4 4.3 12.4
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 398 448 445 1291 27.0 5.0 13.5
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 434 428 427 1289 26.0 5.0 13.5
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 437 436 443 1316 25.5 5.0 13.5
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 474 479 470 1423 24.8 5.1 13.5
Base Nodes (map)
from school 360 - CARROLL MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-360-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
291.4 (BAS) (2009) 9 9 5 23 82.6 47.8 4.3 3 2000-01
315.2 (BAS) (2009) 3 2 4 9 N/A 11.1 11.1 -2.2 1998-99
315.4 (BAS) (2009) 19 12 18 49 49.0 12.2 12.2 -2.8 1998-99
315.5 (BAS) (2009) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.3 1998-99
651.0 (BAS) (2009) 8 6 6 20 10.0 10.0 5.0 -4.8 N/A
655.0 (BAS) (2009) 6 2 4 12 <5.0 16.7 16.7 -5.1 N/A
745.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.1 N/A
746.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.2 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 46 32 37 115 43.5 19.1 9.6
from school 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
018.0 (BAS) (2009) 8 7 7 22 68.2 31.8 13.6 -1.5 N/A
021.0 (BAS) (2009) 20 18 11 49 46.9 30.6 8.2 1.4 N/A
293.4 (BAS) (2009) 12 9 11 32 59.4 12.5 12.5 -2.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 40 34 29 103 55.3 25.2 10.7
from school 472 - LIGON MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-472-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
066.2 (BAS) (2009) 6 7 7 20 85.0 10.0 25.0 9 2004-05
TOTAL (2011) 6 7 7 20 85.0 10.0 25.0
from school 492 - MARTIN MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-492-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
075.2 (BAS) (2009) 18 10 8 36 >95.0 2.8 25.0 4.3 1995-96
TOTAL (2011) 18 10 8 36 >95.0 2.8 25.0
from school 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
271.1 (BAS) (2009) 15 17 21 53 69.8 30.2 11.3 3.3 2003-04
TOTAL (2011) 15 17 21 53 69.8 30.2 11.3
to school 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-471-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
080.0 (BAS) (2009) -4 -5 -2 -11 81.8 18.2 27.3 -6.2 1993-94
085.1 (BAS) (2009) -5 -1 -3 -9 N/A 0.0 22.2 -6.2 1991-92
085.2 (BAS) (2009) -2 -3 -1 -6 N/A 0.0 16.7 -6.2 1991-92
361.1 (BAS) (2009) -16 -16 -13 -45 <5.0 0.0 6.7 2.6 1991-92
361.2 (BAS) (2009) -18 -15 -12 -45 28.9 6.7 11.1 -0.4 1991-92
361.3 (BAS) (2009) -17 -19 -20 -56 58.9 25.0 12.5 1.2 N/A
529.0 (BAS) (2009) -3 -3 -2 -8 N/A 0.0 12.5 4 2000-01
543.0 (BAS) (2009) -2 -3 -2 -7 N/A 28.6 0.0 4.9 2000-01
544.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 -3 -3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.3 2002-03
584.0 (BAS) (2009) -3 -4 -4 -11 27.3 9.1 9.1 2 2000-01
621.0 (BAS) (2009) -3 -4 -3 -10 <5.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -73 -73 -65 -211 31.3 10.4 10.9
to school 472 - LIGON MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-471-472)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
078.1 (BAS) (2009) -8 -5 -3 -16 68.8 0.0 18.8 -6.8 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -8 -5 -3 -16 68.8 0.0 18.8
to school 492 - MARTIN MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-471-492)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
078.2 (BAS) (2009) -4 -5 -6 -15 93.3 0.0 20.0 -4.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -4 -5 -6 -15 93.3 0.0 20.0
to school 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-471-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
339.1 (BAS) (2009) -3 -3 -5 -11 <5.0 0.0 9.1 2.1 1991-92
339.2 (BAS) (2009) -6 -5 -6 -17 <5.0 0.0 11.8 2.5 1991-92
339.3 (BAS) (2009) -2 -3 -3 -8 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.1 1991-92
TOTAL (2011) -11 -11 -14 -36 <5.0 0.0 8.3
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) 29 6 14 49 >95.0 91.8 20.4
Year-round Calendar Application Nodes (map)
from school 399 - DURANT ROAD MIDDLE (Recommendation YRA-399-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
017.3 (YRA) (2009) 1 2 2 5 N/A 0.0 20.0 -5.3 1991-92
018.1 (YRA) (2009) 1 2 1 4 N/A 50.0 0.0 -5 N/A
021.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.7 N/A
066.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.6 2004-05
075.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.4 1995-96
076.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.8 1991-92
079.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.7 1991-92
155.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.5 1993-94
271.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.6 2003-04
291.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 2.3 2000-01
312.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 2 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.4 N/A
312.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 3 1 4 N/A 0.0 25.0 0.9 N/A
312.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.9 N/A
312.5 (YRA) (2009) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.2 N/A
312.6 (YRA) (2009) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.5 N/A
315.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.2 1998-99
315.5 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.3 1998-99
316.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6 1991-92
316.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.6 1991-92
316.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7 1991-92
316.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.6 1991-92
316.5 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.4 1991-92
317.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.7 1991-92
317.2 (YRA) (2009) 1 1 1 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.5 1991-92
317.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.6 1991-92
317.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.1 1991-92
318.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.1 1991-92
318.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.2 1991-92
318.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.2 1991-92
318.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.2 1991-92
318.5 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.7 1991-92
319.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.8 1991-92
319.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.1 1991-92
319.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 2 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.8 1991-92
320.1 (YRA) (2009) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.3 1991-92
320.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.6 1991-92
320.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.7 1991-92
321.2 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 2 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.7 2004-05
322.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.4 N/A
322.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.6 1998-99
337.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.6 1999-00
337.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 2 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.3 1999-00
338.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.2 N/A
338.2 (YRA) (2009) 3 6 2 11 <5.0 0.0 9.1 -3 1998-99
339.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 2 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.2 1991-92
339.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 1 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.6 1991-92
339.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.2 1991-92
340.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.5 1991-92
340.2 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 1 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.1 1991-92
341.1 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.7 1991-92
341.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.8 1991-92
342.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6 1991-92
342.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 2 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.3 1991-92
342.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 2 1 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.3 1991-92
342.4 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.1 1991-92
342.5 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.8 1991-92
342.6 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 1 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.8 1991-92
343.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 2 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.1 1999-00
343.2 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 2 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.8 1999-00
343.3 (YRA) (2009) 0 3 1 4 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.4 1999-00
530.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.8 2000-01
531.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.7 2000-01
532.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.1 2003-04
533.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7 2000-01
534.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.2 2000-01
535.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.9 N/A
546.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.8 2000-01
548.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.6 N/A
549.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.5 N/A
569.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.4 2003-04
570.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.1 2000-01
571.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.9 2000-01
572.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.3 2002-03
593.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.7 2003-04
593.2 (YRA) (2009) 1 0 1 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.5 2003-04
600.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.1 2000-01
651.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.2 N/A
655.0 (YRA) (2009) 2 0 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.1 N/A
674.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7 N/A
689.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.8 N/A
745.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.1 N/A
746.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.8 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 18 39 26 83 20.5 2.4 3.6
from school 402 - EAST CARY MIDDLE (Recommendation YRA-402-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
017.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 100.0 0.0 -3.1 1991-92
361.1 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.9 1991-92
361.2 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 1 1991-92
361.3 (YRA) (2009) 1 1 0 2 N/A 50.0 0.0 -2.8 N/A
529.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.9 2000-01
543.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5.4 2000-01
544.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.8 2002-03
584.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.2 2000-01
621.0 (YRA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -5 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 1 2 0 3 N/A 66.7 0.0
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE ( Year-round Calendar Application Nodes )
TOTAL (YRA) (2011) 19 41 26 86 22.1 4.7 3.5
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 522 526 510 1558 30.7 7.8 13.2