2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Baileywick Elementary

Summary Growth Profile ITRE Profile Growth With Historical L.I.


Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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326 - BAILEYWICK ELEMENTARY
Capacity - Approved 525
Projected 525
20th Day KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 94 111 117 88 94 92 596 25.3 16.3 12.1
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 101 93 113 113 81 87 588 29.1 15.3 12.2
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 121 108 86 119 103 80 617 26.4 19.9 12.0
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 93 110 98 84 102 87 574 24.7 15.7 11.1
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 86 93 100 71 79 88 517 31.3 27.9 7.2
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 66 78 72 70 78 71 435 17.5 27.8 7.1
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 66 77 70 69 76 72 430 16.5 27.4 7.2
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 67 78 72 69 77 72 435 14.9 27.8 7.1