2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Cary High



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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368 - CARY HIGH
Capacity - Approved 2243
Projected 2243
20th Day 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 749 642 526 499 2416 34.1 7.1 14.6
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 706 681 646 533 2566 36.8 6.4 14.2
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 475 483 562 575 2095 38.5 6.7 14.4
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 504 431 424 524 1883 38.6 9.1 13.9
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 544 405 409 396 1754 38.5 10.7 14.6
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 561 457 414 401 1833 36.3 10.6 14.6
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 567 459 416 401 1843 35.4 10.7 14.6
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 564 459 416 395 1834 34.4 10.7 14.6
Base Nodes (map)
from school 441 - GREEN HOPE HIGH (Recommendation BAS-441-368)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
380.8 (BAS) (2009) 8 7 4 5 24 20.8 12.5 8.3 1.9 1999-00
658.0 (BAS) (2009) 13 13 15 15 56 7.1 3.6 14.3 0 1999-00
TOTAL (2011) 21 20 19 20 80 11.3 6.3 12.5
from school 526 - PANTHER CREEK HIGH (Recommendation BAS-526-368)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
362.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 2 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 2.2 2006-07
363.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.1 2006-07
364.0 (BAS) (2009) 5 0 0 5 10 30.0 30.0 0.0 2.1 2006-07
365.1 (BAS) (2009) 23 15 13 7 58 13.8 8.6 8.6 -0.4 2006-07
365.2 (BAS) (2009) 18 5 10 9 42 <5.0 4.8 9.5 -1.6 2006-07
366.1 (BAS) (2009) 12 12 11 6 41 <5.0 4.9 7.3 -2.8 2006-07
366.5 (BAS) (2009) 7 4 5 1 17 35.3 5.9 17.6 -3.5 2006-07
366.6 (BAS) (2009) 8 6 5 6 25 8.0 0.0 8.0 -2.4 2006-07
366.7 (BAS) (2009) 8 7 5 6 26 7.7 0.0 7.7 -1.5 2006-07
366.8 (BAS) (2009) 8 9 10 8 35 11.4 2.9 11.4 -2.2 2006-07
367.1 (BAS) (2009) 19 15 19 19 72 18.1 9.7 13.9 -3 2006-07
367.3 (BAS) (2009) 4 4 4 5 17 23.5 17.6 11.8 -4.5 2006-07
367.4 (BAS) (2009) 9 11 6 7 33 48.5 12.1 12.1 -2.7 2006-07
367.6 (BAS) (2009) 8 7 3 9 27 14.8 7.4 11.1 -3.8 2006-07
367.7 (BAS) (2009) 1 0 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.2 2006-07
367.8 (BAS) (2009) 9 5 3 4 21 42.9 4.8 14.3 -4.1 2006-07
576.0 (BAS) (2009) 1 0 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.1 2006-07
582.0 (BAS) (2009) 17 12 8 7 44 15.9 9.1 9.1 0.4 2006-07
583.0 (BAS) (2009) 4 3 3 2 12 41.7 25.0 16.7 -0.7 2006-07
TOTAL (2011) 161 115 107 103 486 17.7 7.8 10.5
to school 316 - APEX HIGH (Recommendation BAS-368-316)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
384.8 (BAS) (2009) -8 -10 -5 -4 -27 77.8 37.0 14.8 1.8 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -8 -10 -5 -4 -27 77.8 37.0 14.8
to school 412 - ENLOE HIGH (Recommendation BAS-368-412)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
060.0 (BAS) (2009) -23 -9 -6 -5 -43 >95.0 0.0 27.9 -4.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -23 -9 -6 -5 -43 >95.0 0.0 27.9
to school 441 - GREEN HOPE HIGH (Recommendation BAS-368-441)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
061.0 (BAS) (2009) -12 -10 -5 -3 -30 80.0 20.0 33.3 5.9 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -12 -10 -5 -3 -30 80.0 20.0 33.3
to school 526 - PANTHER CREEK HIGH (Recommendation BAS-368-526)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
369.3 (BAS) (2009) -36 -16 -9 -8 -69 69.6 63.8 14.5 6.6 N/A
370.8 (BAS) (2010) -2 -1 -1 -1 -5 N/A 60.0 0.0 6.3 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -38 -17 -10 -9 -74 64.9 63.5 13.5
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 368 - CARY HIGH ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) 101 89 100 102 392 10.5 5.1 6.4
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 368 - CARY HIGH
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 665 548 516 497 2226 26.5 7.9 13.2