2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Daniels Middle



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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388 - DANIELS MIDDLE
Capacity - Approved 1110
Projected 1110
20th Day 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 347 332 339 1018 32.4 9.3 16.6
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 306 356 334 996 31.1 7.3 16.0
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 346 306 365 1017 30.0 7.4 16.4
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 434 387 351 1172 31.3 9.0 13.1
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 442 415 388 1245 28.4 8.7 13.3
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 526 476 456 1458 26.5 8.6 13.2
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 566 515 504 1585 26.1 8.6 13.3
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 612 567 559 1738 25.7 8.7 13.3
Base Nodes (map)
from school 360 - CARROLL MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-360-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
731.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.2 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0
from school 394 - DILLARD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
672.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0
from school 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-471-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
080.0 (BAS) (2009) 4 5 2 11 81.8 18.2 27.3 -6.2 1993-94
085.1 (BAS) (2009) 5 1 3 9 N/A 0.0 22.2 -6.2 1991-92
085.2 (BAS) (2009) 2 3 1 6 N/A 0.0 16.7 -6.2 1991-92
361.1 (BAS) (2009) 16 16 13 45 <5.0 0.0 6.7 2.6 1991-92
361.2 (BAS) (2009) 18 15 12 45 28.9 6.7 11.1 -0.4 1991-92
361.3 (BAS) (2009) 17 19 20 56 58.9 25.0 12.5 1.2 N/A
529.0 (BAS) (2009) 3 3 2 8 N/A 0.0 12.5 4 2000-01
543.0 (BAS) (2009) 2 3 2 7 N/A 28.6 0.0 4.9 2000-01
544.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 3 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.3 2002-03
584.0 (BAS) (2009) 3 4 4 11 27.3 9.1 9.1 2 2000-01
621.0 (BAS) (2009) 3 4 3 10 <5.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 73 73 65 211 31.3 10.4 10.9
from school 492 - MARTIN MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-492-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
008.0 (BAS) (2009) 6 4 7 17 11.8 0.0 23.5 1.5 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 6 4 7 17 11.8 0.0 23.5
from school 506 - MOORE SQ MUSEUMS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-506-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
145.0 (BAS) (2009) 2 5 0 7 N/A 0.0 28.6 2.4 2002-03
TOTAL (2011) 2 5 0 7 N/A 0.0 28.6
from school 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
065.1 (BAS) (2009) 9 6 6 21 76.2 19.0 19.0 -4.8 N/A
151.0 (BAS) (2009) 9 7 10 26 92.3 26.9 15.4 -4.4 1993-94
673.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 2 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.5 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 18 13 18 49 81.6 22.4 16.3
to school 360 - CARROLL MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-360)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
023.0 (BAS) (2009) -10 -9 -11 -30 6.7 3.3 13.3 -1.1 1991-92
294.4 (BAS) (2009) -13 -7 -12 -32 <5.0 3.1 18.8 -1.5 1991-92
527.0 (BAS) (2009) -4 -3 -3 -10 40.0 10.0 10.0 -1.2 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -27 -19 -26 -72 9.7 4.2 15.3
to school 370 - CENTENNIAL MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-370)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
244.3 (BAS) (2009) -20 -22 -14 -56 57.1 32.1 10.7 3.4 2007-08
TOTAL (2011) -20 -22 -14 -56 57.1 32.1 10.7
to school 391 - DAVIS DRIVE MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-391)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
141.1 (BAS) (2009) -6 -8 -4 -18 88.9 0.0 27.8 8.6 N/A
142.0 (BAS) (2009) -1 -1 0 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 9 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -7 -9 -4 -20 90.0 0.0 25.0
to school 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
018.0 (BAS) (2009) -8 -7 -7 -22 68.2 31.8 13.6 -1.5 N/A
021.0 (BAS) (2009) -20 -18 -11 -49 46.9 30.6 8.2 1.4 N/A
293.4 (BAS) (2009) -12 -9 -11 -32 59.4 12.5 12.5 -2.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -40 -34 -29 -103 55.3 25.2 10.7
to school 506 - MOORE SQ MUSEUMS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-506)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
022.0 (BAS) (2009) -16 -13 -10 -39 64.1 30.8 17.9 3 N/A
024.0 (BAS) (2009) -3 -3 -4 -10 10.0 0.0 10.0 2.9 1991-92
025.0 (BAS) (2009) -6 -6 -7 -19 10.5 0.0 5.3 2.9 N/A
133.0 (BAS) (2009) -3 -3 -2 -8 N/A 0.0 12.5 2.8 N/A
144.0 (BAS) (2009) -2 -1 -3 -6 N/A 0.0 33.3 -2.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -30 -26 -26 -82 41.5 14.6 14.6
to school 551 - SALEM MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-551)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
141.2 (BAS) (2010) -6 -6 -8 -20 95.0 25.0 30.0 8.4 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -6 -6 -8 -20 95.0 25.0 30.0
to school 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
039.2 (BAS) (2009) -9 -9 -8 -26 80.8 42.3 15.4 2.1 2007-08
039.3 (BAS) (2009) -9 -11 -5 -25 88.0 52.0 12.0 2.5 2007-08
TOTAL (2011) -18 -20 -13 -51 84.3 47.1 13.7
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) -49 -40 -29 -118 81.4 46.6 17.8
Traditional Calendar Application Nodes (map)
from school 400 - REEDY CREEK MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-400-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
358.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 4 2007-08
359.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 4.7 2007-08
360.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 4.2 2007-08
666.0 (TCA) (2009) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.9 2007-08
667.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.6 2007-08
702.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.4 2007-08
708.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.6 2007-08
TOTAL (2011) 1 2 0 3 N/A 0.0 0.0
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE ( Traditional Calendar Application Nodes )
TOTAL (TCA) (2011) 1 2 0 3 N/A 0.0 0.0
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 564 529 530 1623 21.6 5.9 13.0