2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Dillard Drive Middle



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

All maps are in Acrobat format and require the free Acrobat Software to view.

394 - DILLARD MIDDLE
Capacity - Approved 1136
Projected 1136
20th Day 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 344 319 378 1041 22.9 1.2 17.1
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 290 362 330 982 25.3 2.0 17.0
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 316 318 377 1011 26.9 8.0 16.7
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 397 374 407 1178 31.2 10.2 15.0
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 369 414 383 1166 32.8 10.7 14.8
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 478 445 468 1391 31.4 10.8 14.8
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 496 466 500 1462 30.7 10.7 14.8
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 531 509 537 1577 30.1 10.8 14.8
Base Nodes (map)
from school 356 - CARNAGE MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-356-394)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
441.1 (BAS) (2009) 2 3 0 5 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.8 1998-99
441.2 (BAS) (2009) 2 1 0 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.3 1998-99
441.3 (BAS) (2009) 2 0 1 3 N/A 0.0 33.3 -3.9 1998-99
441.4 (BAS) (2009) 4 2 2 8 N/A 37.5 25.0 -2.9 1998-99
442.1 (BAS) (2009) 4 5 4 13 <5.0 0.0 7.7 -2.4 N/A
442.2 (BAS) (2009) 6 5 2 13 15.4 0.0 7.7 -2.4 N/A
442.3 (BAS) (2009) 2 4 6 12 16.7 8.3 16.7 -3.4 N/A
446.0 (BAS) (2009) 15 17 9 41 68.3 34.1 14.6 -1.4 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 37 37 24 98 36.7 18.4 13.3
from school 400 - REEDY CREEK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-400-394)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
635.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.1 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0
from school 450 - HOLLY RIDGE MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-450-394)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
417.1 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 2.2 2003-04
TOTAL (2011) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0
from school 472 - LIGON MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-472-394)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
444.1 (BAS) (2009) 6 4 4 14 42.9 14.3 28.6 0 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 6 4 4 14 42.9 14.3 28.6
to school 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
672.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 -1 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 0 -1 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0
to school 391 - DAVIS DRIVE MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-391)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
524.3 (BAS) (2009) -14 -15 -13 -42 92.9 33.3 19.0 7.3 2000-01
TOTAL (2011) -14 -15 -13 -42 92.9 33.3 19.0
to school 399 - DURANT ROAD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-399)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
070.2 (BAS) (2009) -16 -14 -18 -48 87.5 41.7 18.8 -0.1 1998-99
TOTAL (2011) -16 -14 -18 -48 87.5 41.7 18.8
to school 400 - REEDY CREEK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-400)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
412.4 (BAS) (2009) -4 -7 -10 -21 19.0 4.8 14.3 1.5 1998-99
TOTAL (2011) -4 -7 -10 -21 19.0 4.8 14.3
to school 402 - EAST CARY MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-402)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
412.1 (BAS) (2009) -9 -9 -8 -26 19.2 7.7 15.4 -1.7 1998-99
412.7 (BAS) (2009) -5 -5 -6 -16 <5.0 0.0 12.5 -0.9 1998-99
TOTAL (2011) -14 -14 -14 -42 11.9 4.8 14.3
to school 551 - SALEM MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-394-551)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
445.1 (BAS) (2010) -15 -17 -15 -47 >95.0 40.4 29.8 7 1998-99
445.3 (BAS) (2010) -3 -4 -4 -11 90.9 27.3 18.2 7 1998-99
TOTAL (2011) -18 -21 -19 -58 94.8 37.9 27.6
to school M10 - MILLS PARK MIDDLE SITE (Recommendation BAS-394-M10)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
412.8 (BAS) (2010) -15 -17 -15 -47 63.8 27.7 10.6 7.4 1998-99
412.9 (BAS) (2010) -10 -8 -9 -27 55.6 29.6 14.8 7.3 1998-99
444.4 (BAS) (2010) -7 -11 -9 -27 81.5 0.0 25.9 10.4 1998-99
TOTAL (2011) -32 -36 -33 -101 66.3 20.8 15.8
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 394 - DILLARD MIDDLE ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) -55 -67 -78 -200 85.0 30.0 20.5
Traditional Calendar Application Nodes (map)
to school 424 - FUQUAY-VARINA MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-394-424)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
730.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6.6 N/A
733.0 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -10.8 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0
to school 450 - HOLLY RIDGE MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-394-450)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
448.4 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.4 2001-02
460.1 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -6 2007-08
461.3 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.1 2007-08
461.4 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.5 2007-08
469.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 -2 0 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.3 N/A
470.1 (TCA) (2010) -1 -2 -1 -4 N/A 50.0 25.0 2.4 2007-08
474.0 (TCA) (2010) -2 0 0 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.9 N/A
496.1 (TCA) (2010) -3 -2 -1 -6 N/A 16.7 16.7 6.1 N/A
496.2 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 6.2 N/A
496.3 (TCA) (2010) -4 0 0 -4 N/A 0.0 25.0 6.1 N/A
521.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 -1 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.4 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -10 -6 -3 -19 63.2 15.8 15.8
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 394 - DILLARD MIDDLE ( Traditional Calendar Application Nodes )
TOTAL (TCA) (2011) -10 -6 -3 -19 63.2 15.8 15.8
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 394 - DILLARD MIDDLE
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 466 436 456 1358 21.6 7.9 14.0