2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Panther Creek High



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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526 - PANTHER CREEK HIGH
Capacity - Approved 1747
Projected 2131
20th Day 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 523 367 0 0 890 10.3 3.3 12.1
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 610 497 391 0 1498 9.0 4.3 10.1
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 690 601 528 385 2204 9.3 4.6 9.3
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 853 657 620 514 2644 10.1 4.6 9.2
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 956 735 691 578 2960 10.3 4.6 9.2
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 1055 808 763 639 3265 10.6 4.6 9.2
Base Nodes (map)
from school 318 - ATHENS DRIVE HIGH (Recommendation BAS-318-526)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
444.4 (BAS) (2009) 13 8 3 6 30 83.3 0.0 26.7 10.8 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 13 8 3 6 30 83.3 0.0 26.7
from school 368 - CARY HIGH (Recommendation BAS-368-526)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
369.3 (BAS) (2009) 36 16 9 8 69 69.6 63.8 14.5 6.6 N/A
370.8 (BAS) (2010) 2 1 1 1 5 N/A 60.0 0.0 6.3 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 38 17 10 9 74 64.9 63.5 13.5
to school 348 - BROUGHTON HIGH (Recommendation BAS-526-348)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
357.1 (BAS) (2010) -9 -11 -7 -4 -31 <5.0 6.5 3.2 4.1 2006-07
357.2 (BAS) (2010) -24 -10 -24 -12 -70 14.3 10.0 4.3 3.1 2006-07
357.3 (BAS) (2010) -8 -4 -6 -6 -24 16.7 4.2 8.3 5.4 2006-07
358.0 (BAS) (2010) -4 -4 -12 -11 -31 22.6 6.5 9.7 4.6 2006-07
359.0 (BAS) (2010) 0 0 0 -1 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0 6.1 2006-07
360.0 (BAS) (2010) 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.6 N/A
621.0 (BAS) (2010) -3 -1 -3 -2 -9 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.3 2006-07
642.0 (BAS) (2010) -4 -7 -6 -8 -25 8.0 8.0 8.0 4.3 2006-07
666.0 (BAS) (2010) -32 -12 -4 -5 -53 67.9 9.4 15.1 5 2006-07
667.0 (BAS) (2010) -2 -4 -4 -2 -12 <5.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 2006-07
702.0 (BAS) (2010) 0 0 0 -2 -2 N/A 50.0 0.0 3.7 2006-07
708.0 (BAS) (2010) -3 -3 -1 0 -7 N/A 14.3 0.0 4.7 2006-07
TOTAL (2011) -89 -56 -67 -53 -265 22.3 7.9 7.2
to school 368 - CARY HIGH (Recommendation BAS-526-368)
Node ID 09 10 11 12 HT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
362.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 -2 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 2.2 2006-07
363.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.1 2006-07
364.0 (BAS) (2009) -5 0 0 -5 -10 30.0 30.0 0.0 2.1 2006-07
365.1 (BAS) (2009) -23 -15 -13 -7 -58 13.8 8.6 8.6 -0.4 2006-07
365.2 (BAS) (2009) -18 -5 -10 -9 -42 <5.0 4.8 9.5 -1.6 2006-07
366.1 (BAS) (2009) -12 -12 -11 -6 -41 <5.0 4.9 7.3 -2.8 2006-07
366.5 (BAS) (2009) -7 -4 -5 -1 -17 35.3 5.9 17.6 -3.5 2006-07
366.6 (BAS) (2009) -8 -6 -5 -6 -25 8.0 0.0 8.0 -2.4 2006-07
366.7 (BAS) (2009) -8 -7 -5 -6 -26 7.7 0.0 7.7 -1.5 2006-07
366.8 (BAS) (2009) -8 -9 -10 -8 -35 11.4 2.9 11.4 -2.2 2006-07
367.1 (BAS) (2009) -19 -15 -19 -19 -72 18.1 9.7 13.9 -3 2006-07
367.3 (BAS) (2009) -4 -4 -4 -5 -17 23.5 17.6 11.8 -4.5 2006-07
367.4 (BAS) (2009) -9 -11 -6 -7 -33 48.5 12.1 12.1 -2.7 2006-07
367.6 (BAS) (2009) -8 -7 -3 -9 -27 14.8 7.4 11.1 -3.8 2006-07
367.7 (BAS) (2009) -1 0 -1 0 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.2 2006-07
367.8 (BAS) (2009) -9 -5 -3 -4 -21 42.9 4.8 14.3 -4.1 2006-07
576.0 (BAS) (2009) -1 0 -1 0 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.1 2006-07
582.0 (BAS) (2009) -17 -12 -8 -7 -44 15.9 9.1 9.1 0.4 2006-07
583.0 (BAS) (2009) -4 -3 -3 -2 -12 41.7 25.0 16.7 -0.7 2006-07
TOTAL (2011) -161 -115 -107 -103 -486 17.7 7.8 10.5
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 526 - PANTHER CREEK HIGH ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) -199 -146 -161 -141 -647 11.1 1.9 8.0
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 526 - PANTHER CREEK HIGH
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 856 662 602 498 2618 10.5 5.2 9.5