2009-12 Reassignment Plan for West Cary Middle



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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604 - WEST CARY MIDDLE
Capacity - Approved 1104
Projected 1104
20th Day 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 309 321 308 938 21.3 4.7 13.1
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 347 315 340 1002 21.2 5.7 12.3
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 368 394 364 1126 20.4 5.3 13.6
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 371 389 424 1184 19.0 8.2 11.8
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 390 346 424 1160 18.8 8.8 10.7
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 502 477 547 1526 17.2 8.8 10.7
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 558 530 625 1713 16.3 8.8 10.7
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 600 566 681 1847 16.0 8.8 10.7
Base Nodes (map)
to school 391 - DAVIS DRIVE MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-604-391)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
061.0 (BAS) (2010) -5 -9 -10 -24 79.2 16.7 33.3 2.9 2004-05
TOTAL (2011) -5 -9 -10 -24 79.2 16.7 33.3
to school 400 - REEDY CREEK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-604-400)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
367.4 (BAS) (2010) -11 -11 -9 -31 48.4 12.9 12.9 -0.4 N/A
371.3 (BAS) (2010) -4 -12 -13 -29 17.2 3.4 13.8 1.4 1989-90
371.4 (BAS) (2010) -11 -12 -8 -31 9.7 6.5 12.9 1.4 N/A
684.0 (BAS) (2010) -13 -9 -9 -31 38.7 16.1 12.9 1.3 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -39 -44 -39 -122 28.7 9.8 13.1
to school 402 - EAST CARY MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-604-402)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
374.1 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 2.2 N/A
380.8 (BAS) (2009) -7 -7 -8 -22 22.7 9.1 9.1 2.2 2001-02
TOTAL (2011) -7 -7 -8 -22 22.7 9.1 9.1
to school 472 - LIGON MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-604-472)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
060.0 (BAS) (2009) -16 -13 -15 -44 >95.0 0.0 29.5 -8 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -16 -13 -15 -44 >95.0 0.0 29.5
to school 551 - SALEM MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-604-551)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
049.0 (BAS) (2010) -7 -4 -3 -14 92.9 21.4 28.6 2.8 2004-05
139.0 (BAS) (2010) -5 -6 -7 -18 94.4 5.6 16.7 2.8 2004-05
TOTAL (2011) -12 -10 -10 -32 93.8 12.5 21.9
to school M10 - MILLS PARK MIDDLE SITE (Recommendation BAS-604-M10)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
375.0 (BAS) (2010) -13 -14 -13 -40 7.5 22.5 7.5 -2.7 1989-90
376.0 (BAS) (2010) -10 -12 -13 -35 20.0 11.4 5.7 -3.9 1989-90
377.1 (BAS) (2010) -23 0 0 -23 <5.0 17.4 4.3 -4.5 1989-90
377.2 (BAS) (2010) -4 -3 -5 -12 <5.0 0.0 0.0 -4.9 1989-90
377.3 (BAS) (2010) -4 0 -4 -8 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4.2 1989-90
377.4 (BAS) (2010) -2 -2 -2 -6 N/A 0.0 0.0 -4 1989-90
378.1 (BAS) (2010) -23 -28 -35 -86 <5.0 9.3 5.8 -4.4 1992-93
378.2 (BAS) (2010) -26 -25 -24 -75 21.3 4.0 9.3 -5.6 1992-93
378.3 (BAS) (2010) 0 0 -28 -28 <5.0 0.0 7.1 -4.9 1992-93
378.4 (BAS) (2010) -12 -23 -58 -93 <5.0 3.2 6.5 -5.2 1992-93
628.1 (BAS) (2010) -19 -16 -19 -54 13.0 11.1 7.4 -2.8 N/A
628.2 (BAS) (2010) -17 -11 -17 -45 8.9 8.9 8.9 -2.7 N/A
700.1 (BAS) (2010) -13 -12 -12 -37 10.8 16.2 5.4 -5.5 N/A
700.2 (BAS) (2010) -7 -6 -6 -19 <5.0 10.5 5.3 -5.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -173 -152 -236 -561 7.8 8.7 6.6
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 604 - WEST CARY MIDDLE ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) -252 -235 -318 -805 22.0 8.8 10.3
Traditional Calendar Application Nodes (map)
from school 312 - APEX MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-312-604)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
392.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.1 2004-05
393.1 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.7 2004-05
393.2 (TCA) (2010) 1 3 3 7 N/A 0.0 14.3 -0.2 2004-05
393.3 (TCA) (2010) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.1 2004-05
393.4 (TCA) (2010) 1 2 2 5 N/A 0.0 0.0 0 2004-05
393.5 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.7 2004-05
394.1 (TCA) (2010) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2004-05
394.2 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.4 2004-05
394.3 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.2 2004-05
394.4 (TCA) (2010) 1 1 1 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.1 2004-05
394.5 (TCA) (2010) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 0 2004-05
394.6 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 0.4 2004-05
395.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.2 2004-05
396.0 (TCA) (2010) 1 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 2 2004-05
397.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 2.4 2004-05
398.3 (TCA) (2010) 1 1 1 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.1 2004-05
404.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 4.1 2004-05
405.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 4.4 2004-05
545.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.5 2004-05
604.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 1 1 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 0 2004-05
TOTAL (2011) 6 12 10 28 7.1 0.0 3.6
from school 400 - REEDY CREEK MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-400-604)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
703.0 (TCA) (2010) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.2 2007-08
TOTAL (2011) 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 604 - WEST CARY MIDDLE ( Traditional Calendar Application Nodes )
TOTAL (TCA) (2011) 6 13 10 29 6.9 0.0 3.4
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 604 - WEST CARY MIDDLE
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 354 344 373 1071 11.3 8.5 10.7