2009-12 Reassignment Plan for West Millbrook Middle



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE
Capacity - Approved 1144
Projected 1144
20th Day 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 368 330 373 1071 33.1 8.6 17.4
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 326 400 372 1098 34.8 10.7 16.8
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 345 356 383 1084 35.3 10.1 16.6
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 289 351 349 989 36.9 12.4 15.7
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 301 273 326 900 37.3 12.1 15.3
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 355 352 399 1106 34.2 12.2 15.4
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 368 370 427 1165 33.1 12.1 15.4
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 376 382 440 1198 32.1 12.1 15.4
Base Nodes (map)
from school 360 - CARROLL MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-360-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
244.4 (BAS) (2009) 5 9 9 23 82.6 17.4 8.7 1.6 2007-08
244.9 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 1 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 1.8 2007-08
291.2 (BAS) (2009) 10 14 14 38 55.3 28.9 10.5 -1.4 2000-01
291.5 (BAS) (2009) 8 12 8 28 64.3 25.0 7.1 -0.8 2000-01
TOTAL (2011) 23 35 32 90 64.4 24.4 8.9
from school 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-388-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
039.2 (BAS) (2009) 9 9 8 26 80.8 42.3 15.4 2.1 2007-08
039.3 (BAS) (2009) 9 11 5 25 88.0 52.0 12.0 2.5 2007-08
TOTAL (2011) 18 20 13 51 84.3 47.1 13.7
from school 408 - EAST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-408-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
273.2 (BAS) (2009) 12 19 24 55 27.3 14.5 12.7 -0.1 N/A
TOTAL (2011) 12 19 24 55 27.3 14.5 12.7
from school 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-471-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
339.1 (BAS) (2009) 3 3 5 11 <5.0 0.0 9.1 2.1 1991-92
339.2 (BAS) (2009) 6 5 6 17 <5.0 0.0 11.8 2.5 1991-92
339.3 (BAS) (2009) 2 3 3 8 N/A 0.0 0.0 3.1 1991-92
TOTAL (2011) 11 11 14 36 <5.0 0.0 8.3
from school 594 - WAKEFIELD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-594-608)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
298.1 (BAS) (2009) 9 11 11 31 6.5 0.0 16.1 0.9 1999-00
298.2 (BAS) (2009) 5 6 9 20 <5.0 0.0 15.0 0.2 1999-00
298.3 (BAS) (2009) 9 7 6 22 9.1 0.0 13.6 2.6 1999-00
309.0 (BAS) (2009) 3 1 4 8 N/A 0.0 25.0 1.5 1999-00
310.1 (BAS) (2009) 4 3 5 12 <5.0 0.0 16.7 -0.1 1999-00
310.2 (BAS) (2009) 4 4 8 16 <5.0 0.0 6.3 0.6 1999-00
311.0 (BAS) (2009) 1 4 5 10 <5.0 0.0 10.0 -1.6 1999-00
TOTAL (2011) 35 36 48 119 <5.0 0.0 14.3
to school 360 - CARROLL MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-360)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
321.1 (BAS) (2009) -6 -6 -10 -22 <5.0 4.5 4.5 1.4 1998-99
TOTAL (2011) -6 -6 -10 -22 <5.0 4.5 4.5
to school 388 - DANIELS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-388)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
065.1 (BAS) (2009) -9 -6 -6 -21 76.2 19.0 19.0 -4.8 N/A
151.0 (BAS) (2009) -9 -7 -10 -26 92.3 26.9 15.4 -4.4 1993-94
673.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 -2 -2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.5 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -18 -13 -18 -49 81.6 22.4 16.3
to school 408 - EAST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-408)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
146.1 (BAS) (2009) -4 -1 -4 -9 N/A 0.0 22.2 -2.4 N/A
146.2 (BAS) (2009) -2 -3 -1 -6 N/A 0.0 16.7 -2.4 N/A
147.0 (BAS) (2009) -3 -2 -3 -8 N/A 0.0 37.5 -2.3 N/A
148.0 (BAS) (2009) -5 -5 -4 -14 92.9 0.0 35.7 -2.4 N/A
149.0 (BAS) (2009) -1 -1 -1 -3 N/A 0.0 33.3 -2.4 N/A
245.5 (BAS) (2009) -6 -4 0 -10 >95.0 20.0 20.0 -2.1 2006-07
272.3 (BAS) (2009) -13 -11 -12 -36 44.4 11.1 11.1 -1 2002-03
272.4 (BAS) (2009) -13 -11 -8 -32 46.9 15.6 18.8 -1.2 2002-03
272.5 (BAS) (2009) -8 -6 -10 -24 33.3 8.3 16.7 0 2004-05
272.6 (BAS) (2009) -12 -19 -14 -45 66.7 42.2 8.9 -1.5 2004-05
272.7 (BAS) (2009) -9 -10 -17 -36 66.7 13.9 11.1 -1.6 2002-03
685.0 (BAS) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.6 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -76 -73 -74 -223 63.2 16.6 16.1
to school 471 - LEESVILLE ROAD MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-471)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
271.1 (BAS) (2009) -15 -17 -21 -53 69.8 30.2 11.3 3.3 2003-04
TOTAL (2011) -15 -17 -21 -53 69.8 30.2 11.3
to school 472 - LIGON MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-472)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
065.2 (BAS) (2009) -1 0 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -7.9 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -1 0 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0
to school 506 - MOORE SQ MUSEUMS MIDDLE (Recommendation BAS-608-506)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
150.0 (BAS) (2009) -18 -23 -18 -59 86.4 42.4 18.6 -6.9 N/A
TOTAL (2011) -18 -23 -18 -59 86.4 42.4 18.6
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) -35 -11 -10 -56 >95.0 64.3 35.7
Traditional Calendar Application Nodes (map)
to school 408 - EAST MILLBROOK MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-608-408)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
272.1 (TCA) (2009) 0 -1 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.1 2004-05
TOTAL (2011) 0 -1 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0
to school 506 - MOORE SQ MUSEUMS MIDDLE (Recommendation TCA-608-506)
Node ID 06 07 08 MT %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
242.2 (TCA) (2009) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.7 2003-04
TOTAL (2011) 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE ( Traditional Calendar Application Nodes )
TOTAL (TCA) (2011) 0 -1 0 -1 N/A 0.0 0.0
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL 608 - WEST MILLBROOK MIDDLE
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 341 370 430 1141 20.4 9.6 14.4