2009-12 Reassignment Plan for Alston Ridge Elementary Site



Staff from NC State's ITRE/ORED lab (Institute for Transportation Research and Education/Operations Research/Education Laboratory) have developed growth projections based upon projected housing changes across the county. The housing projections are provided by municipal planning departments. ITRE/ORED compares the housing estimates to current enrollment by grade level in different areas across the county and then estimates how new housing planned by municipalities may impact school enrollment. This is a new projection model that staff has used for comparison to the cohort growth model.

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E30 - ALSTON RIDGE ELEMENTARY SITE
Capacity - Approved
Projected 1078
20th Day KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP
2004-05 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005-06 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006-07 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007-08 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008-09 ACT_FINAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009-10 PRJ_ITRE07P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010-11 PRJ_ITRE07P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011-12 PRJ_ITRE07P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Base Nodes (map)
from school 369 - CEDAR FORK ELEMENTARY (Recommendation BAS-369-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
375.0 (BAS) (2010) 12 11 13 12 10 9 67 9.0 22.4 7.5 -1.1 2005-06
376.0 (BAS) (2010) 32 15 23 20 17 13 120 20.8 10.8 5.0 -3.7 2005-06
377.1 (BAS) (2010) 11 35 0 12 23 11 92 <5.0 16.3 3.3 -2.9 2005-06
377.2 (BAS) (2010) 3 6 8 8 3 5 33 <5.0 3.0 3.0 -2.4 2005-06
377.3 (BAS) (2010) 38 0 0 0 0 0 38 <5.0 0.0 0.0 -2.9 2005-06
377.4 (BAS) (2010) 12 12 0 0 0 0 24 <5.0 0.0 0.0 -1.6 2005-06
628.1 (BAS) (2010) 7 14 7 9 7 7 51 13.7 11.8 7.8 -0.1 2005-06
628.2 (BAS) (2010) 10 11 10 13 7 5 56 8.9 10.7 8.9 0 2005-06
TOTAL (2011) 125 104 61 74 67 50 481 8.9 11.6 5.0
from school 393 - DILLARD ELEMENTARY (Recommendation BAS-393-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
412.8 (BAS) (2010) 12 13 12 11 8 8 64 64.1 28.1 10.9 9 1999-00
412.9 (BAS) (2010) 8 7 9 6 5 5 40 55.0 30.0 17.5 8.9 1999-00
TOTAL (2011) 20 20 21 17 13 13 104 60.6 28.8 13.5
from school 439 - GREEN HOPE ELEMENTARY (Recommendation BAS-439-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
378.1 (BAS) (2010) 78 62 61 46 31 60 338 <5.0 9.8 5.3 -0.1 2000-01
378.3 (BAS) (2010) 41 0 41 41 0 0 123 <5.0 0.0 8.1 -0.9 2000-01
378.4 (BAS) (2010) 65 109 22 22 107 66 391 <5.0 3.6 6.1 -1.7 2000-01
700.1 (BAS) (2010) 18 15 13 8 6 7 67 11.9 14.9 4.5 -0.9 2006-07
TOTAL (2011) 202 186 137 117 144 133 919 <5.0 6.2 6.0
from school 460 - KINGSWOOD ELEMENTARY (Recommendation BAS-460-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
579.0 (BAS) (2010) 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 N/A 0.0 0.0 7.7 2006-07
580.0 (BAS) (2010) 1 2 2 4 4 2 15 20.0 33.3 13.3 7.9 2006-07
TOTAL (2011) 2 2 2 4 5 3 18 16.7 27.8 11.1
from school 542 - REEDY CREEK ELEMENTARY (Recommendation BAS-542-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
368.2 (BAS) (2010) 19 17 16 14 11 12 89 46.1 13.5 15.7 8.1 1999-00
TOTAL (2011) 19 17 16 14 11 12 89 46.1 13.5 15.7
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL E30 - ALSTON RIDGE ELEMENTARY SITE ( Base Nodes )
TOTAL (BAS) (2011) 368 329 237 226 240 211 1611 10.4 9.9 6.8
Year-round Calendar Application Nodes (map)
from school 304 - ADAMS ELEMENTARY (Recommendation YRA-304-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
368.2 (YRA) (2010) 0 2 1 0 1 0 4 N/A 25.0 25.0 7.9 1999-00
412.8 (YRA) (2010) 0 1 1 0 1 0 3 N/A 33.3 0.0 9.6 1999-00
412.9 (YRA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 N/A 0.0 0.0 9.7 1999-00
579.0 (YRA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 8.2 2006-07
580.0 (YRA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 8.4 2006-07
TOTAL (2011) 0 3 2 0 3 0 8 N/A 25.0 12.5
from school 358 - CARPENTER ELEMENTARY (Recommendation YRA-358-E30)
Node ID KI 01 02 03 04 05 ET %LI %LEP %IEP DIST LAST MOVE
375.0 (YRA) (2010) 6 2 2 3 2 4 19 10.5 21.1 5.3 -1.3 2005-06
376.0 (YRA) (2010) 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -3.5 2005-06
377.1 (YRA) (2010) 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.2 2005-06
377.2 (YRA) (2010) 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 N/A 0.0 0.0 -1.4 2005-06
377.3 (YRA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -2.4 2005-06
377.4 (YRA) (2010) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N/A 0.0 0.0 -0.9 2005-06
628.1 (YRA) (2010) 6 0 8 4 4 2 24 12.5 12.5 8.3 0.1 2005-06
628.2 (YRA) (2010) 6 3 3 2 6 1 21 9.5 9.5 9.5 -0.1 2005-06
TOTAL (2011) 22 6 13 9 13 7 70 10.0 12.9 7.1
NET CHANGE FOR SCHOOL E30 - ALSTON RIDGE ELEMENTARY SITE ( Year-round Calendar Application Nodes )
TOTAL (YRA) (2011) 22 9 15 9 16 7 78 15.4 14.1 7.7
TOTALS FOR SCHOOL E30 - ALSTON RIDGE ELEMENTARY SITE
GRAND TOTAL (2011) 390 338 252 235 256 218 1689 10.7 10.1 6.8